Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Hydromer and the Value of Potential

A common theme among my stocks is potential. Either a stock has to be incredibly cheap versus the current numbers, priced as if the company is dead, or packed with potential. Above all any stock I'm going to consider must be tiny, illiquid, and low priced.

When I say low priced I mean cheap, and when I say cheap I mean in every sense of the word. A $100 stock may be cheap relative to intrinsic value but it is not absolutely cheap. Even a $20 stock is not absolutely cheap so it would take something real special to get me to venture into that realm. Anything over a few dollars starts making me uncomfortable and my preference is really closer to a nickel. I'm looking for maximum stock price movement and that comes from four things: supply, demand, perception, and resistance.

Friday, June 23, 2017

Activism and a Possible Sale of QDLC

A concerned shareholder group has started a proxy fight at QDLC by calling a special meeting on July 11 to elect a new board.  Their stated intention is increase communication and sell the company ASAP.  The current QDLC board has fought back by calling their first annual meeting in over a decade on July 10.  It's a lot of drama and the craziest part is the CEO is part of the concerned shareholder group!

This is a call to action for all QDLC shareholders to ignore the company proxy and vote yes on the concerned shareholder group's proxy for all new directors.

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Aggressive Change at DPW

Digital Power Corporation (DPW) is a $4M market cap electronic power supply company under new ownership as of 8 months ago. The ship has turned towards explosive change with a $50M contract and one acquisition already. At the current price you get the old business on the cheap with everything new for free.

Thursday, June 8, 2017

HEMA Annual Meeting June 2017

This will be a summary of today's HemaCare (HEMA) annual meeting.  There was nothing earth shattering but it was still good.  Shareholder attendance was down 33% from last year, which is to say there were only two of us this time...

Monday, May 22, 2017

MRCR at 5x Earnings

This is your annual reminder of how cheap Moro (MRCR) is.  I got the latest report a few days ago and MRCR is currently trading at the following ratios:
  • P/E = 4.9
  • P/BV = 0.52
  • P/S = 0.07
  • P/E cont ops = 4.3

Thursday, May 18, 2017

I've Moved to PennTrade

Hopefully this is my last post on brokerage drama.  I have moved as many accounts as possible out of T Rowe Price and Fidelity over to PennTrade.  When people now ask me which brokerage house they should transfer OTC stocks into, I will answer PennTrade.

Thursday, April 20, 2017

TCCO: Betting on Survival

Technical Communications Corp (TCCO) is a tiny company in the exciting field of encrypted communication.  With a market cap of $4.4M, 1.8M shares out, and no debt they are my kind of company.

Monday, April 17, 2017

NoName Annual Performance 2016-2017

What a year!  My portfolio is up 121.7%, bringing my CAGR to 33.8% since I started investing four years ago.  I'll never match this performance again so let me enjoy this while I can.

Thursday, March 16, 2017

STRI at 22% of Cash

Here is a simple one.  STR Holdings (STRI) is a solar panel encapsulant manufacturer currently selling for 22% of cash, 11% of BV, and 34% of the cash left after paying off all liabilities.  It's a classic net-net.   The stock has been in a death spiral but the chart shows it has found support around $0.15 over the past year.

That's it. Cheap numbers, all time low, chart support. Potential upside vs downside.

The problem is cash burn with a negative operating margin and decreasing revenue.  If you're into quality businesses with a moat this is not for you. If you believe turnarounds don't turn move on.

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Biomerica is a Buy

Biomerica (BMRA) is a small developer of medical test equipment. They are working on FDA approval of their new product, InFoods, and describe it as a “multi billion dollar market opportunity.” With a market cap of $22M BMRA is in for big things if all goes as planned.

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

EKCS Update: Turning the Corner

I first wrote about Electronic Control Security (EKCS) in Aug 2016: EKCS has big potential.  Since then the company has produced 2016 financial statements, given me a quick 2017 projection, and announced a couple more contracts.  EKCS now has a market cap of $400k with revenue set to more than double in 2017.  My thesis is the same it was when I first wrote about EKCS, but they are further into a turnaround than I thought.

I've talked with the CEO by phone and email several times since my first blog post.  The company is doing well and I'd like to give an update

Thursday, January 12, 2017

IOMT: Market Cap Less Than a Gallon of Gas

The current market cap on Isomet Corp (IOMT) is $2.10.  As in two dollars and ten cents.  Not share price...market cap.  Comically cheap.  If "nano cap" refers to companies valued less than $50M, what would you call this?  Spend one commission and get a company for free.

Friday, January 6, 2017

Will QDLC Ever Post a Report?

Quadlogic Controls (QDLC) is a dark company I first wrote about a year ago.  They last posted a report in 2012, earning $0.16 for the year.  Stock price is now $0.40 for a PE ratio of 2.5.  The only numbers anyone has seen out of QDLC from 2000 until now is the 2012 report.

Update 1/6/2017: QDLC updated the investor relations page of the website and posted an annual report for 2013!  They did this sometime between last night when I finished typing this post and this morning 2 hours after I published it.  

The company tells me they'll be posting an audited annual report within the next month and a half.  The question is will they follow through...

Tuesday, January 3, 2017

ADDC is Getting Cheaper

We got the Addmaster (ADDC) annual report in December and I went to the annual meeting.  It was a good year.  With another million in the bank and some talk of a tender I think this stock is worth twice the current price.

Monday, November 28, 2016

SOFT Has Big Plans

SofTech (SOFT) is an extremely low float nano cap in the middle of big change.  Five years ago they completed a recapitalization and have been selling off divisions while moving into a new business line.  In October shareholders approved the sale of their PLM business for $3.25M and with a market cap of $800k the public is not impressed with what's left.   Shockingly this is a blog post about an actual SEC reporting company... :)

Tuesday, November 8, 2016

COMX and SIMA Updated Numbers

I received new COMX and SIMA annual reports recently.  Both stocks are incredibly cheap.  Let me update you on the numbers.

Thursday, October 27, 2016

A Conversation With OTC Markets

Recently I mailed a letter and copy of my blog post Brokerage Firms, OTC Markets, and Dark Companies to the CEO of OTC Markets (OTCM).  I explained the issues I have with OTCM's stop designation list and told him I'd like to talk about how we can come to a resolution.  Thankfully he took me up on the request and we had a phone call the other day. It was great to hear another point of view and I just wanted to do a follow up post to get out their side of the story.

Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Brokerage Firms, OTC Markets, and Dark Companies

Followers of this blog know I've had issues with brokerage companies due to the types of companies I own. I have contacted 40 brokerage companies in the past 6 months in an attempt to find one who'll give me the freedom I want. In this post I discuss findings.

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

SIMA is the cheapest stock I know

I love 10 minute stock decisions.  Today's question is are you into incredibly cheap, dark stocks or are you not.  Let's start with a game of price that stock.  You tell me what it's worth:
  • revenue: $20M in 2015 vs $20.4M in 2014 vs $20.4M in 2013
  • cash: $12.5M vs 10.6 vs 8.8
  • securities: $1M vs 0.7 vs 0.3
  • net income: $2.1M vs 2 vs 2.9
  • BV: $21.9M vs 19.8 vs 17.8
  • EPS: $0.62 vs 0.59 vs 0.85
  • no debt
  • 3.4M shares common
  • no preferred or warrants

Tuesday, September 6, 2016

OptionsHouse kicked me out

A few days ago OptionsHouse sent me the following in an email:
After a review of your account, OptionsHouse has determined we will be unable to service your account ending *** going forward.  Your account has been placed in liquidation only trading status, meaning existing positions can be closed out but no new positions can be established. Please make arrangements to transfer your account out of OptionsHouse within thirty (30) calendar days.
They went on to explain the ways I could withdraw cash or transfer my account.  My wife has an account and got the same email.  They give no explanation.  I have been a customer for years.  I am active.  Now I'm given 30 days, don't let the door hit you on the way out.  Why must I leave...we won't tell you.